Gain insights into the economic trends shaping 2026 with our in-depth analysis.
Topics covered
Global GDP growth rate: projected figures
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the projected global GDP growth rate for 2026 is estimated at 3.5%, a slight increase from the 3.2% recorded in 2025. This growth is influenced by factors such as enhanced consumer spending and a rebound in trade activities.
Inflation rates across major economies
Inflation continues to be a critical concern, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United States projected to stabilize around 2.8% by the end of 2026. Meanwhile, the eurozone is expected to see an inflation rate of 2.5%, down from 3.0% in 2025, indicating a potential easing of monetary policies.
Unemployment rates: trends and expectations
Unemployment rates are forecasted to decline gradually, with the U.S. unemployment rate expected to fall to 4.0% by mid-2026, compared to 4.3% in 2025. The eurozone is projected to achieve a rate of 6.5%, reflecting improvements in labor market conditions.
Impact of geopolitical events on the economy
Geopolitical tensions, particularly in Eastern Europe and the Asia-Pacific region, are anticipated to impact global markets. The World Bank suggests that sustained conflicts could reduce global growth by as much as 0.5% annually, necessitating close monitoring of these developments.
Sectoral performance: technology and energy
The technology sector remains robust, with anticipated growth rates of 8.0% through 2026, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. Conversely, the energy sector is expected to grow at a slower pace of 3.0% as the transition to renewable sources continues to reshape demand.
