Andy Burnham is setting his sights on Downing Street with a bold plan to boost defence spending by cutting welfare. Learn about his strategy and the challenges ahead.

Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, is making bold moves towards a potential leadership role in the Labour Party. With internal polling suggesting a strong showing in the Makerfield by-election, Burnham is positioning himself as a formidable contender to replace Sir Keir Starmer as prime minister.
In a recent interview with The TimesBurnham outlined his vision for a 10-year approach to defence and security, emphasizing the need for increased investment. He is not squeamish about admitting that his plan involves reducing the welfare billaiming to transition people from welfare into work.
Burnham’s Strategy for Defence and Security
Burnham’s proposal comes at a time of significant turmoil within the Labour Party, particularly following the resignations of defence secretary John Healey and armed forces minister Al Carns. Both ministers stepped down in protest over the prime minister’s Defence Investment Plan (DIP), which they deemed insufficient to address current security threats.
In a damning letterHealey criticized the funding as falling well short of what is requiredhighlighting that additional support would not arrive until after 2030. This is despite the imperative to speed up readiness to fight being most critical in the first two years. Burnham, while avoiding direct criticism of Healey’s resignation, acknowledged that the world has changed and that defence, security, and resilience must adapt accordingly.
The Makerfield By-Election: A Pivotal Moment
The Makerfield by-election on 18 June is more than just a local contest; it is a mega focus group for the country. Burnham’s team believes he will win easily and embarrass Reform UKpositioning him strongly for a leadership challenge. The constituency, which made up just 0.1% of voters in the last general election, is now at the center of national political attention.
In Makerfield, the mood is a mix of frustration and hope. Residents express feelings of being forgotten and call for change. Business owners like Yasmin Ratcliffe, who opened Rose’s Cafe in Ashton-in-Makerfield, see signs of economic growth but also acknowledge deeper issues. Chris Ratcliffe, founder of motorcycle manufacturer Langen, highlights the potential for advanced manufacturing to rejuvenate the area.
Local Issues and National Implications
The by-election is not just about Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon. Other parties, including the Greens, Conservatives, and Liberal Democrats, are also vying for votes. The Green candidate Sarah Wakefield offers hope and better solutionswhile Conservative candidate Michael Winstanley positions himself as a community champion. Liberal Democrat Jake Austin focuses on reducing household living costs.
The stakes are high. A victory for Burnham would signal his ability to beat Reform UK in a tight race, a crucial skill for any Labour leader. Conversely, a win for Reform UK could leave Labour in disarray and bolster the insurgent party’s momentum.
Preparing for Downing Street
Burnham’s team is already organizing his potential Downing Street operation, sounding out candidates for cabinet roles. They are also looking at an overhaul of communications in Downing Street, identifying it as one of Sir Keir’s greatest weaknesses. This preparation underscores Burnham’s serious intent to take on a leadership role.
As the Political Landscape in Makerfield and beyond continues to evolve, one thing is clear: the by-election is a proxy prime ministerial election. The outcome will have significant implications for the future of the Labour Party and the country as a whole.

